Dalton Kincaid

BUF logoBuffalo BillsTE#86
Height
6'3"
Weight
246 lb
Age
26
College
Utah, Univ of California-San Diego
Drafted
2023 · round 1, pick 25 · BUF
Experience
4 yrs
Status
Active

Seasons

2023–2025
 GRECTGTREC YDSREC TD
BUF logo2025BUF1239495715
BUF logo2024BUF1344754482
BUF logo2023BUF1673916732

Game log

 RECTGTREC YDSREC TD
WK 1@NYJ logoNYJ44260
WK 2vsLV logoLV56430
WK 3@WAS logoWAS2230
WK 4vsMIA logoMIA45270
WK 5vsJAX logoJAX22190
WK 7@NE logoNE88750
WK 8vsTB logoTB57651
WK 9@CIN logoCIN1011810
WK 10vsDEN logoDEN56511
WK 11vsNYJ logoNYJ67460
WK 12@PHI logoPHI56380
WK 14@KC logoKC58210
WK 15vsDAL logoDAL0200
WK 16@LAC logoLAC1270
WK 17vsNE logoNE47870
WK 18@MIA logoMIA78840

Regular season only — weeks 1 to 18. Playoff games are not included.

Hit rate

Against a line you supply — we hold no player props
over
5
Median
4.6
Average
0 to 10
Range
56%
Swing
16
Games

Type the line your bookmaker is offering to see how often he has cleared it. GRIDLINE holds game lines but not player props, so this one comes from you.

His role

2023 · share of his team's snaps
-16points of snap shareHe was playing less by the end of the season.

66% of his team's offensive snaps across his first 13 games of 2023, 51% across the last 3 — and 5.7 touches or attempts a game against 5.7.

Snap share is the cleanest read on a role there is: touches depend on whether the ball came his way, while the share of snaps is the coaching staff's own statement about his job, made every week. It moves before the points do. It cannot say why it moved — injury, benching, game script and a change of scheme all look identical here.

Against the schedule he faced

2023 · opponent adjusted
1.01schedule index · RECHe faced a roughly average set of defences.
StatIdxActualAdjustedDiff
  1. REC1.017371-2
  2. TGT1.019189-2
  3. REC YDS1.01673672-1
  4. REC TD1.0521-1

Each game is divided by how generous that opponent was to his position in 2023, so beating a soft defence counts for less and beating a hard one counts for more. The index is that division: below 1 is a hard schedule, above 1 an easy one, and it differs by stat because a defence generous with catches need not be generous with yards. 16 of 16 games had an opponent rating; the rest are left unadjusted rather than dropped, so the two columns stay comparable. Over a full season the correction is small, because schedules largely even out. It matters far more across three or five games than across seventeen.

Splits

2023 · per game
 GRECTGTREC YDSREC TD
Last 334.05.759.30.0
Last 553.45.439.80.0
Last 10104.86.448.00.2
Home83.95.342.30.3
Away85.36.141.90.0