Dalton Kincaid

BUF logoBuffalo BillsTE#86
Height
6'3"
Weight
246 lb
Age
26
College
Utah, Univ of California-San Diego
Drafted
2023 · round 1, pick 25 · BUF
Experience
4 yrs
Status
Active

Seasons

2023–2025
 GRECTGTREC YDSREC TD
BUF logo2025BUF1239495715
BUF logo2024BUF1344754482
BUF logo2023BUF1673916732

Game log

 RECTGTREC YDSREC TD
WK 1vsARI logoARI12110
WK 2@MIA logoMIA44330
WK 3vsJAX logoJAX35411
WK 4@BAL logoBAL57470
WK 5@HOU logoHOU26340
WK 6@NYJ logoNYJ67510
WK 7vsTEN logoTEN36520
WK 8@SEA logoSEA47311
WK 9vsMIA logoMIA410320
WK 10@IND logoIND25240
WK 15@DET logoDET47530
WK 16vsNE logoNE47150
WK 17vsNYJ logoNYJ22240

Regular season only — weeks 1 to 18. Playoff games are not included.

Hit rate

Against a line you supply — we hold no player props
over
4
Median
3.4
Average
1 to 6
Range
41%
Swing
13
Games

Type the line your bookmaker is offering to see how often he has cleared it. GRIDLINE holds game lines but not player props, so this one comes from you.

His role

2024 · share of his team's snaps
-19points of snap shareHe was playing less by the end of the season.

61% of his team's offensive snaps across his first 10 games of 2024, 42% across the last 3 — and 5.9 touches or attempts a game against 5.3.

Snap share is the cleanest read on a role there is: touches depend on whether the ball came his way, while the share of snaps is the coaching staff's own statement about his job, made every week. It moves before the points do. It cannot say why it moved — injury, benching, game script and a change of scheme all look identical here.

Against the schedule he faced

2024 · opponent adjusted
0.98schedule index · RECHe faced a roughly average set of defences.
StatIdxActualAdjustedDiff
  1. REC0.984445+1
  2. TGT1.017575-0
  3. REC YDS0.95448490+42
  4. REC TD0.9522+0

Each game is divided by how generous that opponent was to his position in 2024, so beating a soft defence counts for less and beating a hard one counts for more. The index is that division: below 1 is a hard schedule, above 1 an easy one, and it differs by stat because a defence generous with catches need not be generous with yards. 13 of 13 games had an opponent rating; the rest are left unadjusted rather than dropped, so the two columns stay comparable. Over a full season the correction is small, because schedules largely even out. It matters far more across three or five games than across seventeen.

Splits

2024 · per game
 GRECTGTREC YDSREC TD
Last 333.35.330.70.0
Last 553.26.229.60.0
Last 10103.66.436.30.1
Home62.85.329.20.2
Away73.96.139.00.1